Introduction

After a few months covering other topics, it was about time we returned to our series focusing on the United Nations’ (UN) Global Goals. For this month’s edition, we will be covering Zero Hunger in Africa. Within the second global goal is the target of ending all forms of malnutrition, as measured by the prevalence of stunting among children under the age of five.
 

If you would like to read more about our research on Zero Hunger, you can find the link here: “Zero Hunger” in Asia.

Both a cause and consequence of poverty

For those not familiar with the term, stunting is the impaired growth and development that children experience due to a combination of poor nutrition, repeated infections, as well as a host of other reasons. Generally, a child would be considered stunted when their height-for-age is more than two standard deviations below the WHO Child Growth Standards median.

To help visualise that, Figure 1 maps out the trajectory of a child’s development from birth through their fifth year. For example, at age five, the average boy would expect to be 110cm (3.6 feet). Whereas a boy that suffers from being stunted, they would be closer to 100cm. While 10cm might seem trivial, in aggregate, these lost 10cm costs the private sector $135 billion annually in lost productivity.

The scope of the problem

Below are a few high-level numbers to keep in mind for the remainder of the briefing.

  • 4 billion people faced moderate to severe food insecurity.
  • 735 million people found themselves in a state of chronic hunger in 2022.
  • 148 million children were stunted in 2022
  • 59 million children were stunted in Africa alone
  • $138 representing the financial benefit in improved health and productivity for every $1 spent on improved nutrition

Figure 2 visualises the breakdown of the relationship between these numbers. As you can see on the far right, you have 59 million stunted children in Africa that account for 2% of the world’s population facing food insecurity. From there you have the remaining stunted children globally accounting for 6%, and so on.

What is important to remember is that while food insecurity and chronic hunger are scourges that need to be tackled, stunting is particularly devastating and needs to be addressed urgently. Without the proper intervention within their first 1,000 days (and even during the pregnancy), these children face lifelong disadvantages, including physical and cognitive impairments that limit their educational achievements and economic potential.

Global and regional trends

We have not been making progress

As is the case with most of the UN’s Global Goals, progress has been too slow. In the case of Zero Hunger, we as a planet have actually taken steps backwards as the world is currently experiencing levels of hunger not seen since 2005, exacerbated by conflicts, climate change, and economic instability.

Food prices have remained stubbornly higher in more countries since 2015, contributing to increased food insecurity. In 2022, approximately 735 million people—9.2% of the world’s population—were in a state of chronic hunger. This represents a staggering increase from 2019, driven by the COVID-19 pandemic, conflicts such as the war in Ukraine, and climate-related disasters.

Regional

Of the 148 children globally that were stunted in 2022, Africa was home to nearly 40%. Although the prevalence of stunting in Africa has declined from 38.3% in 2000 to 30.7% in 2017, the absolute number of stunted children has increased due to population growth, rising from 54.4 million in 2000 to nearly 62 million by 2024. This trend is concerning as it underscores the ongoing struggle to reduce malnutrition in a rapidly growing population.

Even within a country level focus on the data, Africa leads the rate of stunting as shown in Figure _____ highlighting the average rate of stunting within each country as broken down by continent.
 

Sub-Saharan Africa has been particularly hard hit in recent years and has been experiencing high-levels of malnutrition across the board. With the twin disruptions of the COVID-19 pandemic, war in Ukraine, and disruptions to global supply chains, there were an additional 130,000 cases globally of children under 5, 52% of which occurred in Sub-Saharan Africa. Within the continent, there is also a large discrepancy in stunting outcomes as visualised in Figure 4. Burundi has the highest incidence at 55.8%, whereas in the Seychelles, it is as low as 7.9%.

Another pressing issue is the double burden of malnutrition—where undernutrition coexists with overweight and obesity—poses additional challenges. Overweight rates among children under five in Africa have risen from 6.6 million in 2000 to 9.7 million in 2017, with obesity rates doubling among children aged 5–19 years between 2006 and 2016. This shift towards diets high in energy, fat, and salt but low in nutritional quality exacerbates the malnutrition crisis, creating a complex public health challenge that requires multifaceted interventions.

Economic and social impact

Aside from the moral imperative, the economic costs of malnutrition are staggering. In total, undernutrition is estimated to cost the global economy over $3 trillion annually. When focusing on stunting, it costs the private sector $135 billion in lost productivity on a per annum basis. To put that in the context of low-income countries, the economic loss of malnutrition could reduce GDP by as much as 16%. Not only are the least developed countries suffering, but their suffering is also pulling them further behind.

Another way to think of it is on a human level. If an adult was stunted as a child, they could expect to face a 22% reduction in potential lifetime earnings. Sadly, these effects do not end with that one person and are transgenerational in nature. Stunted mothers are more likely to also have stunted children which continues the cycle of under-nourishment.

Strategies for breaking the cycle

Within the African context, it will require a multi-faceted approach to tackle malnutrition if there is any hope of achieving Zero Hunger. Even on a country level, some solutions such as the continued deployment of mosquito bed netting will be necessary whereas others will be irrelevant.  Developing a local-first approach will be critical to achieve any measure of success. Below is a list of key strategies policymakers should look to include:
 

Nutrition-Specific Interventions:

Scaling up proven interventions such as breastfeeding promotion, micronutrient supplementation, and therapeutic feeding can significantly reduce stunting. For example, intermittent preventive treatment of malaria during pregnancy (IPTp), infant and young child feeding education, vitamin A supplementation, and lipid-based nutrition supplements for children produced 88% of the total impact on stunting when scaled up consecutively.

Improving Maternal and Child Health:

Ensuring adequate maternal nutrition during pregnancy is crucial. Interventions like iron and folic acid supplementation for non-pregnant women and multiple micronutrient supplementation for pregnant women have a significant impact. These measures account for 85% of the total reduction in  anaemia prevalence, with costs per case averted ranging from $9 to $47.

Enhancing Food Security

Addressing food insecurity through agricultural diversification, improving food systems, and supporting sustainable practices is essential. Investments in these areas  can generate significant returns, with every $1 invested in nutrition interventions yielding up to $138 in improved health and productivity.

Building Resilient Communities:

Community health workers play a vital role in delivering nutrition interventions and educating families. In addition, improving access to timely and relevant data is crucial for smart allocation of national budgets, ensuring that resources are directed where they are needed most. This has been especially evident in the lack of up-to-date data feeding into Figure 4.
 

Looking ahead

Africa’s path towards achieving Zero Hunger and eliminating the scourge of stunting by 2030 is challenging but not impossible. The continent must overcome significant hurdles, including poverty, climate change, and ongoing conflicts, to meet its targets.

The path ahead will require a combination of the solutions above and the involvement of all stakeholders in society: governments, international organizations, and local communities. Keeping these solutions in mind, Africa can make significant strides toward a future where every child has the opportunity to thrive. Every $1 invested will lead to $138 in improved outcomes.

If you would like to learn more about Holocene’s work and capabilities in the food space or emerging markets, get in touch at [email protected]

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